Counterfactual analysis of the impact on mortality aggregated across NHS England regions of A, D, initiating lockdown one week earlier / later, B, E Relaxing lockdown two weeks earlier / later, and C, F 50% more / less restricted care home visits. Panels A, B, D and E all present counterfactual outcomes for daily deaths in England but have different y axis scales to better highlight differences between the observed data and each alternative lockdown scenario.
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